The political arena is abuzz with intrigue and speculation, and the recent development surrounding Andy Burnham's thwarted return to Westminster has refocused attention on the potential successors to Keir Starmer. Among them, Angela Rayner, Starmer's former right-hand woman, has emerged as a key figure.
Rayner, who resigned as a minister over a stamp duty issue nearly five months ago, has been quietly advocating for policies she considers her legacy. She has been vocal about workers' rights and has been actively involved in lobbying for changes to the leasehold system.
It's no secret that Rayner aspires to rejoin the cabinet, and Starmer seems open to the idea, as the prime minister has publicly expressed his support for her return on multiple occasions. Despite their differences, they maintain a professional relationship, and sources suggest they make an effective political team.
However, a return to the cabinet is not imminent for two reasons. Firstly, there is currently no vacancy, and Starmer, having recently reshuffled his cabinet, is unlikely to create one soon. Secondly, there is an ongoing investigation by HMRC into Rayner's tax underpayment, which could result in a fine, a reprimand, or no action at all. While none of these outcomes are expected to prevent her return, Rayner must wait for the tax authorities' decision, a situation that has caused frustration within her team.
But here's where it gets controversial... Rayner's allies claim that while she has no immediate plans to challenge Starmer, she would definitely compete for the top job if the opportunity arose. She is reportedly frustrated by persistent reports linking her to deputy roles and ideological ballast for others' leadership bids, often portraying her as second fiddle to men.
"Angela says she took the scars for Jeremy Corbyn and Keir Starmer, and the next time, she'll do it for herself," a senior Labour figure revealed.
Rayner is aware that her leadership bid could be divisive among some voters, and she envisions leading a team with a steady chancellor, such as John Healey or Pat McFadden, by her side.
With her legislative priorities nearing completion, Rayner is contemplating the future direction of the Labour Party. She believes a change in policy and leadership is necessary.
One intriguing aspect often raised in relation to Rayner's candidacy is her partner, Sam Tarry, a former Labour MP who was deselected before the last election. Some worry that internal Labour divisions could affect Rayner's standing. Her team, however, wishes for more privacy, especially regarding her children.
In terms of support, Rayner hopes to garner backing from the soft-left Tribune caucus, particularly female MPs. However, the extent of her base remains unknown, and her path to the leadership is uncertain. What is clear is that if anyone, like Wes Streeting, hopes for a smooth coronation, they are in for a fight.
